2008年5月

IZA DP第3521号:改革退休收入制度:经合组织国家最近经验的教训

约翰·p·马丁爱德华·怀特豪斯

养老金改革在经合组织国家的政策议程中显得尤为重要。这并不令人意外,因为2005年经合组织(OECD)在养老金方面的公共支出平均占GDP的7%;在未来的几十年里,为了应对人口老龄化,这方面的养老金支出将显著增加。养老金政策确实具有挑战性和争议性,因为它涉及面对众多短期政治压力的长期决策。然而,就养老金改革而言,现状并不总是有利的:公共财政危机和日益逼近的人口老龄化威胁已被证明是改革的有效动力。因此,自20世纪90年代初以来,为使养老金制度适应未来,政府已经做了很多工作。在此期间,几乎所有30个经合组织国家都至少对其养老金制度做出了一些改变。其中16个国家进行了重大改革,将对未来的福利产生重大影响。本文的目的是总结这些改革并突出主要教训。第一节考察了哪些国家改革了养老金制度,哪些国家没有。 It also examines the fiscal challenges posed by public pensions. Section 2 describes the measures in the reforms themselves. These include, among other things, increases in pension age, changes in the way benefits are calculated and smaller pension increases in retirement than in the past. Section 3 explores the impact of these reforms on future pension entitlements of today’s retirees, showing a clear trend to a lower pension promise for today’s workers than for past generations. This means that people will need to save more for their own retirement via private pension schemes, an issue examined in Section 4. This is followed in Section 5 by a review of the main outstanding challenges facing pension systems in OECD countries. The final section presents some concluding remarks.